How will be the world in the year ? In the last fifty years the world has undergone a great deal of transformation. There has been incredible progress in almost all spheres of life. The vistas of knowledge and advancement have grown beyond human imagination.
Economics However, even in average income per capita will still be significantly higher in the advanced economies than in the emerging economies — the current income gap is just too large to bridge fully over this period.
In contrast to recent arguments by Professor Robert Gordon and some other commentators 1we do not expect a significant slowdown in the global pace of technical progress given the scope for further major advances in areas like ICT, biotechnology and nanotechnology, although emerging economies like China and India will play an increasing role in these developments in future decades.
The BRICs and beyond: Opportunities and challenges for business These projected long-term growth trends pose many opportunities and challenges for businesses in the UK and other Western economies. China, India, Brazil and the other emerging markets highlighted in our study will become not just low cost production locations but also increasingly large consumer markets.
At the same time, such markets can be challenging places to do business. It will be important to understand and adapt to local rules, regulations and customs. The right entry strategy and, where appropriate, the right joint venture partner s will be crucial, as will good relations with local government and regulatory bodies.
In some cases, the optimal production locations may not be the same as the largest consumer markets e. Energy use and climate change: There are also important challenges for governments, not least regarding natural resource constraints such as those relating to energy use and climate change.
C objective seems increasingly out of reach given the lack of progress on decarbonisation since But even this scenario would still be consistent with 4 degrees of global warming in the long run — it may already be too late for 2 degrees as our latest Low Carbon Economy Index report discusses in more detail.
Background on the reports In March we produced a report setting out projections for potential GDP growth in 17 leading economies over the period to There projections were updated in March and Januaryexpanding the country sample in the latter case to cover all of the G20 economies by adding Argentina, South Africa and Saudi Arabia.
We are now revisiting these long-term GDP projections two years on from our last report and extending the sample to include Poland as the leading EU economy in the Central and Eastern European region and Malaysia as a potential fast-growing medium-sized economy within the Asia-Pacific region that may provide a suitable launch pad for some Western companies investing in the region.
We then use our long-term economic model to estimate trend growth rates from to These longer term trend growth estimates are driven by the following key factors see Appendix A for more details. Growth in the population of working age based on the latest UN population projections. Increases in human capital, proxied here by average education levels across the adult population.
Growth in the physical capital stock, which is driven by capital investment net of depreciation. The emerging economies have stronger potential growth than the current advanced economies on most of these measures, although it should be stressed that this assumes that they continue to follow broadly growth-friendly policies.
In this sense, the projections are of potential future GDP if such policies are followed, rather than unconditional predictions of what will actually happen, bearing in mind that not all of these countries may be able to sustain such policies in the long run in practice.
There are, of course, many uncertainties surrounding these long-term growth projections, so more attention should be paid to the broad trends indicated rather than the precise numbers quoted in the rest of this report.
The broad conclusions reached on the shift in global economic power from the G7 to the E7 emerging economies should, however, be robust to these uncertainties, provided that there are no catastrophic shocks e.
Such shocks should be distinguished from shorter term cyclical variations, which will inevitably occur to a greater or less degree in all economies, but should not materially alter underlying average trend growth rates over the four decade period that we are considered.
What has changed since the January update? We have made three main changes to the analysis since our last published update in January We have updated historical data in the model so that the base year is now rather than Our medium term projections to also take account of the slowdown seen in most economies inalthough this does not have a large impact on the longer term trend growth rates projected by the model for the period beyond We have added Malaysia and Poland to the analysis and include commentaries by senior PwC economists from these two countries in Section 3.
We have improved the way in which long-run exchange rate trends are modelled.
Structure of this report The rest of the report is structured as follows:Life in – This is about what life would be like in the year Essay Sample. Life in – This is about what life would be like in the year Essay Sample.
and it is estimated that 35% of the world’s population have access to the Internet. Life in is a futurology book by Ulrich ashio-midori.com book deals with the effects that climate change, peak oil and the s energy crisis has on the year of the midst century..
This book is intended primarily for students, young professionals, university professors and politicians. Summary. According to Eberl, computers would act as medical ashio-midori.com: Ulrich Eberl. (Broadcast by BBC Virtual Reality, August 14, ) This essay explores some of the social, political, economic and technological issues that the world may have to .
However, even in average income per capita will still be significantly higher in the advanced economies than in the emerging economies – the current income gap . In , men and women in much of the developed world will do an equal share of childcare and housework, according to an Oxford University study of 16 European and North American countries, in.
In , following the fine tradition of hacking automobiles and computers, garage biology hacking could be well underway. Of course, if there is a benefit then there are enough reasons to watch out for the misuse of the technology too.